Financial News: Will Credit-Card Debt Threaten Brazil’s Recent Economic Boom?


I’ve been wondering about this. Obviously in America, credit cards are a huge problem. Just about everyone I know in the states now has accumulated massive credit card or loan debt, people who seem to be able to own everything, while technically none of it actually belongs to them…I have hoped that Brazil would use this American model as an example of what NOT to become, but i suppose it was too hard to resist the seduction of easy credit and american-style consumorism…even with these CRAZY interest rates! Read this article…

Credit-card debt may threaten Brazil’s boom

 

 

(Via Associated Press)

SAO PAULO (AP) — Silas Xavier pulls credit card bills from a pocket on the door of the taxi he drives, more from the glove box and still more from a pouch behind his seat, waving them as his voice rises in frustration and desperation.

Like many of the 40 million Brazilians who have joined the middle class since 2003, he got a taste for American-style consumption and dived headlong into the enticing world of easy credit, once available only to the wealthy.

He defaulted three times in four years. Now he’s in over his head again, struggling to provide for his wife and 4-year-old daughter.

Xavier is one more debtor adding to fears that the economic boom in Brazil may be partly built on a bubble in personal credit, even with interest rates on credit cards often topping 200 percent. Economists worry that if it pops, it could severely damage an economy that has come through the global downturn better than almost every other nation.

“The amount I owe keeps growing. I pay, but I can’t stop this snowballing of the debt. The interest each month is too high,” said Xavier, pointing to the latest credit card bill, showing he still owes $2,200. “I’ve tried to learn from hard experience how to better manage my debt, but I’m too far behind.”

Brazilian leaders have praised newly empowered consumers like Xavier as drivers of the nation’s economic rise. Their spending helped the country emerge from the global economic crisis at a time when people in other countries pulled back.

Now some economists fear those same consumers are being buried by sky-high lending rates. They worry that if debt erodes middle-class buying power, Brazil could face a recession.

scary

 

The News In Portuguese: Financial Times Says The Brazilian Economy is “A Difficult Bike to Pedal.”


Try to test your Portuguese skills by deciphering this article from BBC Brasil on Brazil’s Economy written in Portuguese! Let me know if you have any questions or thoughts: portugueseblogger@gmail.com

 

Also, use this dictionary of financial terms that i made if you need help!

Nota de 50 reais

Economia brasileira é ‘bicicleta difícil de pedalar,’ diz ‘Financial Times

A forte valorização do real e o aumento da disponibilidade de crédito como consequência do grande fluxo de capitais para o Brasil ameaçam interromper o ciclo de crescimento econômico do país, segundo adverte um editorial do jornal britânico Financial Times publicado nesta sexta-feira.

Em um texto intitulado “Feridas brasileiras”, o jornal compara a economia brasileira a uma bicicleta. “Ela funciona enquanto estiver em movimento”, diz o editorial. “Agora, porém, está ficando mais difícil pedalar.”

O jornal observa que o real se valorizou 40% em termos reais desde 2006 e que no mesmo período as importações brasileiras quase dobraram, enquanto as exportações cresceram apenas 5%.

“A única razão pela qual o déficit em conta corrente brasileiro não explodiu são os altos preços das commodities. Mas esse boom pode não durar para sempre”, alerta o jornal.

Crédito

O editorial comenta ainda que a liquidez em abundância também ajudou a impulsionar o crédito doméstico, mas que os consumidores brasileiros agora parecem estar sobrecarregados, gastando mais que um quarto de suas rendas para o pagamento de empréstimos – nível superior ao verificado nos Estados Unidos no período anterior à crise de 2008.

Para o jornal, o crescimento do crédito no Brasil somente pode ocorrer se a renda também continuar a crescer.

“É aí que a bicicleta econômica se depara com a trincheira da guerra cambial”, afirma o jornal, observando que o aumento da renda eleva a demanda e a pressão inflacionária, exigindo o aumento dos juros, que atraem mais capital externo, elevando ainda mais a cotação da moeda, aumentando com isso a atração das importações e prejudicando a competitividade das exportações.

“O resultado é um déficit em conta corrente mais amplo, e um limite no crescimento exigido nos salários para manter o crédito doméstico crescendo com segurança”, diz o jornal.

Soluções

O editorial afirma que uma das maneiras de contornar o problema seria conter a valorização da moeda, mas observa que o governo brasileiro já tentou medidas como controles parciais de capitais e grandes intervenções no mercado cambial, mas sem sucesso.

Outra possibilidade seria o corte de gastos públicos, dificultados pelo Congresso.

Um terceiro caminho seria a elevação dos impostos sobre o setor de commodities, mas o texto observa que mesmo outras economias ricas em commodities e com melhor administração, como o Chile e a Austrália, estão sofrendo com problemas semelhantes e que os problemas no Brasil são mais agudos por causa do tamanho da economia do país.

O editorial conclui dizendo que “a bicicleta brasileira ainda não está arriscada a parar”. “Mas está balançando”, finaliza o texto.

*Sources: http://www.bbc.co.uk/portuguese/noticias/2011/07/110708_brasil_economia_editorial_ft_rw.shtml?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

News: Politics: Rousseff Wants Those Who Have More to Pay More


RIO DE JANEIRO, Jun 17, 2011 (IPS) – The Brazilian government of Dilma Rousseff is attempting to push through long-delayed reforms of the tax system, which is one of the most onerous and unequal in the world, with a tax burden as heavy as that of many rich countries, but accompanied by deficient public services.

Rousseff announced that the tax reform bill, one of her government’s top priorities, will be introduced to Congress in several parts, leaving aside the idea of a broad, far-reaching reform, which analysts say was one of the reasons it failed on two previous attempts by her predecessor Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (2003-2011), who also belonged to the left-wing Workers Party.

However, the initiative is already facing severe criticism, even among the president’s allies in Congress.

Finance Minister Guido Mantega said the idea is to start out by simplifying the Merchandise and Services Circulation Tax (ICMS), considered the worst “culprit”, and cutting taxes on wage and salary income.

Mantega acknowledged that Brazil’s tax burden is heavy, and said that in order to compete with other emerging countries like China and India, it will be necessary to resolve these two aspects this year.

Although there are major disagreements between the government, the opposition, trade unions and business on the question of the tax reforms, there is broad agreement that the current system is unfair and overly complex and that it is curbing growth and undermining competitiveness.

According to the Brazilian Institute of Tax Planning (BIPT), total tax revenue was equivalent to 35 percent of GDP in 2010, representing a .72 percent increase from the year before. In 2000, it was equivalent to 30 percent of GDP, the BIPT reported.

Besides the tax on wages and salaries, some 70 direct and indirect taxes are levied in Brazil, such as a consumption tax on products and services, property taxes, motor vehicle taxes, and garbage collection and street light taxes.

“Brazil has the 14th highest tax burden in the world,” the president of the BIPT, Joao Eloi Olenike, told IPS in an interview. “But countries that have similar or heavier burdens have an excellent quality of life and channel the funds into services that improve the well-being of the population, which sadly is not the case here.” He cited the United States, where tax revenue represents 29 percent of GDP.

The BIPT advocates tax reforms “that would shift away from (regressive) taxes on consumption towards (progressive) taxes on income and wealth, and that would reduce the excessive number of taxes, with a view to simplifying the system.”

A BIPT study found that Brazil’s 191 million people paid an average of 6,722 reals (4,254 dollars) a year in 2010, nearly 1,000 reals (632 dollars) more than the year before.

The report points out that Brazilians have to work an average of 149 days a year just to pay their taxes, behind Sweden’s 185 days but on the same level as France and ahead of the United States, where people pay their taxes with 102 days of work.

Breaking down the tax burden by income level, the BIPT notes that the poorest segments of the population must work 142 days a year to pay their taxes, and the wealthy 152 days, while the middle-class is hit the hardest, having to work 158 days to meet their tax payments, which are equivalent to 43 percent of their gross income.

“Our tax system is complex, confusing and unfair, with excessive obligations and a burden of multiple taxation with a cascading effect,” said Olenike.

The cascading effect refers to an item being taxed more than once as it makes its way from production to final retail sale.

The result is an increase in consumption taxes, “which hurt citizens with the weakest purchasing power,” he stressed.

This kind of tax burden, because it is not gradual according to the consumer’s ability to pay, “ends up hurting the poor, who pay more proportionately,” the head of the BIPT added.

It also makes local and foreign companies “less and less interested in making productive investments in our country,” which leads to “unemployment and economic stagnation.”

But Brazil’s main trade union federation, the Unified Workers’ Central (CUT), complains that the tax reforms proposed by the government are more in line with a neoliberal policy agenda than with a social agenda. In other words, they say that the poor will continue to suffer more under the proposed new tax regime than the rich.

According to studies by the powerful trade union, only half of the tax revenue in Brazil comes from taxes on income, capital gains and wealth like land or real estate. The other half consists of taxes on consumption, which disproportionately affect the poor.

CUT and a number of lawmakers of the governing Workers Party are calling for a progressive income tax, so that whoever earns more pays more.

In a recent meeting with the finance minister, the trade union’s leaders also pressed for an increase in direct taxes on income and wealth, and in the tax on large personal fortunes and inheritance.

The CUT also argues that a reduction in taxes on productive investments is necessary, while calling for a tax on financial speculation.

“We see these as the chief aspects that could contribute to improving the distribution of income in the country,” said CUT secretary general Quintino Severo. “By reducing the burden on the working class, we would boost domestic consumption capacity and help generate jobs and income.

“We can’t support a tax structure where those who earn less pay more, or one that punishes those who want to generate jobs and income,” he said.

The National Confederation of Industry (CNI), meanwhile, argues that a reduction in taxes on investment and exports cannot be put off any longer.

In an interview with IPS, CNI chief economist Flavio Castelo Branco said the current tax system is “outdated” and “designed for economic circumstances of the past, when we were not integrated in the world and we needed to combat the fiscal crisis and high inflation.”

Castelo Branco said it is unacceptable for capital goods, for example, to carry a cost in taxes, “when in other countries, like Chile, that cost is zero.”

The cascading effect drives up the cost of the final product by imposing taxes on energy and telecommunications, for example.

“An investment project in Brazil entails a high tax cost, which drives investors to other countries,” he said.

“Taxes on investment and exports, and the complexity of additional costs, increase companies’ costs and prices, and reduce competitiveness,” he said.

“It’s the final consumer who ends up paying,” which “obviously has an effect on the distribution of income,” he said.

The fiscal burden on each citizen becomes very clear on tax freedom day, when shopping centres offer products and services without taxes, and the price of gasoline, for example, goes down 53 percent and prices in restaurants are 31 percent below normal, on average.

The National Confederation of Young Entrepreneurs (CONAJE) promotes events to raise awareness among people about the taxes they are paying without even knowing it.

The president of CONAJE, Marduk Duarte, told IPS that the current tax system is “retrograde and dense.”

As part of the Movement for an Efficient Brazil, which is attempting to collect 1.4 signatures to present a petition to Congress, the CONAJE proposes reforms based on tax reduction, simplification and transparency, along with public spending cuts.

Duarte pointed to the fiscal wars between Brazil’s states over attracting investment, and to the need for improved distribution of tax revenue among municipalities, states and the federal government.

“With a lower, more balanced tax burden, we could make a serious dent in tax evasion and informality,” Olenike said. (END)

Agriculture: Brazil Targets 5% Increase For Next Crop and Loans 67 Billion USD to Farmers at Zero Rate


Brazilian president Dilma Rousseff announced an agriculture support plan of approximately 67 billion US dollars with the purpose of increasing by 5% the 2011/2012 harvest of grains and oil-seeds.

President Rousseff wants Brazil to become a world food production power

The Agriculture and Livestock 2011/2012 Plan announced in an official ceremony by President Rousseff has the target of increasing the current record crop of 161.5 million tons to 169.5 million tons next season beginning July.

“The purpose of the Plan is to consolidate Brazil as one of the major food producers in the world, guarantee domestic supply and increase exports which already represent 40% of all of the country’s overseas sales”, said the Ministry of Agriculture.

The support plan for farmers is also geared to an abundant supply of grains, oilseeds and beans for the home market to stabilize home prices and avoid any inflation bout, because of shortages.

The resources for funding the Plan are 7% higher that for the last crop (62.5 billion USD) and will be implemented mainly through cheap access to credit.

“We must provide our farmers with the same weapons” as international farmers, said Rousseff during the launching of the Plan.

“We must guarantee farmers the adequate financing. An 80% of the resources will be loaned with an interest rate of 6.57%”, added the head of state, which is half the basic interest rate in Brazil (12.25%).

Current inflation in Brazil is running at an annualized 6.55%.

Ms Rousseff also emphasized that loans with almost zero interest are compatible with the international market and will allow Brazilian farmers to compete in equal conditions with other countries.

The President underlined that Brazil is one of the few countries left in the world with the capacity to increase farm production without having to de-forest and that condition has been repeatedly confirmed as the country becomes a leading world supplier of food.

“A country which aspires to become a food producing power, must also be an environmental aware power”, concluded the head of state.

Finance & Investment: Brazil Created More Jobs Than US in 2011


Guess who is creating more jobs this year? The US economy or Brazil’s?

 

Brazil's economy is slowing, but that's not stopping it from adding over a million jobs to payroll this year

It’s probably a no brainer. Despite the fact that Brazil’s economy slowed from 7.5% growth last year to 5.5% in the 12 months ending March 31, the country created 1.17 million new jobs so far this year, the Labor Ministry said Monday. By comparison, the US created 783,000 jobs, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

In May alone, Brazil registered 252,067 jobs compared to around 54,000 jobs in the US.

Over the last 12 months, Brazil created 2.25 million jobs while the US created a little over 454,000, according to government data.

The overall number is not an exact, scientific comparison because Brazil includes farm payroll while the US data does not. However, farm jobs in the US are much less than they would be in Brazil due mostly to technical advances and mechanization.

Brazil’s economy is clearly hiring more than equivalent sectors in the US. Construction hires in Brazil in May were 28,922 compared to 5,529 in the US last month.

Professional and business services firms added 71,246 jobs in May, according to Brazil’s Labor Ministry. The US added around 44,000 jobs in the same sector in May.

*Sources: http://blogs.forbes.com/kenrapoza/2011/06/20/brazil-created-more-jobs-than-us-in-2011/